← Radiant Origins Store Championship
Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1
at Radiant Origins Store Championship
decks
2
(11.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
14
6-6-2
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.5%
avg ELO -0.6 per match
expected value
50.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1375
· median 1375
· range 1285–1464
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1006
Q1 1223
Q3 1435
1560
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Exia | 16.7% | 5 | 2-2-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.9% | +0.5 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chess | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.5% | -13.7 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.0% | +3.2 |
| Fire Oblation | 5.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.6% | +1.5 |
| Water Aetherwing | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.8% | +14.2 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Assassin | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.3% | +10.1 |
| Water Whirlpool Mill | 5.6% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 43.3% | -6.4 |
| Wind Arcane | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.6% | -15.0 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
